Development of an efficient model to calculate subsidence above the Groningen gas field

Abstract

In order to constrain different drivers of subsidence in the Groningen gas field region, the integration of geomechanical simulations into a data assimilation procedure is crucial. Existing geomechanical models vary in complexity depending on their implementation of the available input data of the subsurface geometry and properties and reservoir pressure. High-complexity models are associated with many parameters to be estimated and tend to be computationally expensive, hindering their practical use in data assimilation. We develop a mechanical model that is optimised in terms of model complexity for the context of simulating surface deformation above the Groningen gas field. The reservoir discretisation and vertical elastic layering are simplified such that model details that are unlikely to be generating surface signals resolvable in geodetic data are eliminated. We demonstrate that the optimised model is ~100 times more numerically efficient than complete models. We also determine the sensitivity of subsidence to the lateral compaction resolution and the elastic layering of our efficient model, to constrain the model resolution in future data assimilation applications for Groningen.